November 30, 2018

Week 13 -- What's at stake?


Our standings entering the week 13 games:
1 Kendall -- 11-1 / 1362 points scored
2 Ben -- 9-3 / 1400
3 Yado -- 9-3 / 1321
4 Joe -- 9-3 / 1294
5 Chad -- 7-5 / 1162
6 Paul -- 6-6 / 1263
7 Ryan -- 6-6 / 1232
8 Nathan -- 6-6 / 1223
9 Norris -- 6-6 / 1212
10 Rookie -- 5-7 / 1318
11 Russ -- 4-8 / 1137
12 Kirk -- 3-9 / 1286
13 Heath -- 2-10 / 1075
14 Corey -- 1-11 / 1111 (all ones!)

Jenna (excluding the four playoff locks):
Rookie -- 1318
Kirk -- 1286 (32 points behind)
Paul -- 1263 (55 points behind)
Ryan -- 1232 (86 points behind)
Nathan -- 1223 (95 points behind)
Norris -- 1212 (106 points behind)
Chad -- 1162 (156 points behind)
Russ -- 1137 (181 points behind)
Corey -- 1111 (207 points behind)
Heath -- 1075 (243 points behind)

So Jenna is REALISTICALLY going to end up with either Rookie or Kirk, with Paul the absolute darkest of darkhorse suitors.

Meanwhile, for the race for the #5 seed, Nathan summarized it best on the message board this week:

WEEK 13 DRAMA

Well, not exactly drama, with the top four seeds locked in, and Rookie having a comfortable lead for Jenna.

But the fifth seed...phew!

The way I'm reading it, any of Chad, Ryan, Norris, Paul and Nathan are still in it.

First, if Chad wins, he's in. But he has to play Kendall's juggernaut squad. If he loses, he's almost certainly out as the lowest scoring team of the quintet.

If Chad loses, the highest season points scorer of any of the other four that wins their Week 13 game will get in.

Norris and Nathan are playing each other, with the loser out.

Ryan gets a desperate Kirk team that is trying to score as many points as possible to try to win Jenna back.

And Paul gets Russ.

Legitimately any of these five can still make the playoffs. I'd give Chad a slight edge since he controls his own destiny, but Paul is looking strong too, with the highest total points scored of the group and probably the "on paper" easiest matchup of Week 13.

Gonna be a good final week of the regular season.

~~~

Finally, the other important thing happening this weekend is the fight for the #2 seed and the other first round bye in the playoffs. That goes to either Ben, Yado, or Joe.

Ben's got the layup of Heath, while Joe and Yado are head-to-head. If Ben beats Heath, he's got #2, while the winner of Joe/Yado has to hope for a Ben loss... but more likely will need to be content with the #3 seed and the right and privilege of calling out his first round opponent!

It's going to be a fun weekend. Best of luck to everyone.



In closing, a reminder about the draft lottery system (new for 2018-19!)

Playoff teams are awarded the following picks in the upcoming draft:

1st place (CKL Cup Winner!) -- #13 overall pick
2nd place -- #14 overall pick
3rd place -- #11 overall pick
4th place -- #12 overall pick
5th place -- #9 overall pick
6th place -- #10 overall pick

The winner of the consolation tournament GETS THE #1 OVERALL PICK, along with the power to decide the keeper declaration order.

The other seven teams that do not win the conso tourney bounce with the ping pong balls in the draft lottery, as such:
#7 -- conso tourney winner, game I winner, 3 wins, #1 overall pick
8 -- I loser, 2 wins, 5 balls, 20% chance for the #2 pick
9 -- J winner, 2 wins, 5 balls, 20% chance for the #2 pick
10 -- J loser, 1 win, 3 balls, 12% chance for the #2 pick
11 -- K winner, 2 wins, 5 balls, 20% chance for the #2 pick
12 -- K loser, 1 win, 3 balls, 12% chance for the #2 pick
13 -- G winner, 1 win,  3 balls, 12% chance for the #2 pick
14 -- G loser, 0 wins, 1 pity ball, 4% chance for the #2 pick

Obviously, it behooves you to win as many games as possible if you fail to make the playoffs and are relegated to the conso tourney. Good luck! It's a mess.

If you have any questions about any of this, let me know!

Again, best of luck to everyone this weekend!

Love,
K

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