October 2, 2016

2016 Week 3 Numbers

As has been my custom, the weekly numbers start to roll out after three weeks of the season. Already patterns are forming. It's still early enough for everyone to have hope, although it's much, much better to be on the undefeated side (congrats Russ, Rook) than the winless one (condolences, Kirk). Still plenty of time to make a move with a trade, a timely FAAB auction pickup, or a savvy start/sit decision. May these numbers illuminate, cause you to ruminate, possibly fumigate.


Week 3 All-Play Numbers



  • Russ out to a quick, early lead. He's one game off Chad's pace at the same time last season, although with a little less distance between first and second place.
  • Eight teams are above .500, which is a bit odd. But then you see the large gap from Joe to the group below him. Norris, Chad, Ryan, Yado, Kirk, and Kendall are all off to subpar all-play starts.
  • Joe sets the early pace with the highest score to date, which he did back in Week 1 with a "Welcome to the CKL" drubbing of Ryan's D2F Ratio. I still have no idea what that team name means.
  • Chad is the initial owner of the lowest low, a 62.4 point tumble in Week 2. If history is any guide, someone will go much lower at some point this season.
  • As expected in the nascent form of CKL 15, the standard deviations are all over the place. Joe, Chad, Norris and Ben are roller coasters, while Ryan is redefining precision scoring in his inaugural voyage. Having a three week range between 92.0 and 95.1 points must be coincidental. If it happens again in Week 4, I'll be officially spooked.


Week 3 Luck

  • Welcome to the league, Ryan. Beginner's luck, I guess? This aggression will not stand, man. Seriously, you're supposed to have to earn your luck in this league. Yes, I realize that makes no sense.
  • Based on Patrick's smack board commentary, JPA is already acutely aware that luck has been against him this first trio of weeks.
  • Anyone undefeated or winless is necessarily going to have luck be a part of that equation.
  • Yado, Corey, Ben, Norris...you're all pretty much exactly where you deserve to be.

Week 3 Jenna Von Oÿ

  • For Ryan (and anyone else who has never read one of these posts), the sixth and final playoff spot goes to the team with the most total points scored that isn't one of the first five seeds. We've named this rule the Jenna Von Oÿ award out of respect for the actress'
    work as Six on Blossom. Woah!
  • Patrick is currently in the playoff field.
  • Once you get down to Norris on the list, you're seeing more of a gab in points than can be made up in one week. Good thing we have ten weeks still to go in the regular season.

Week 3 Playoff Seed History

  • A new addition to the weekly tables, this shows your playoff seed by each week of the season. The current seeding is shown in bold. The right column indicates movement since the previous week.
  • Only three teams have been in the playoff picture all three weeks: Russ, Ben, and Patrick.
  • Conversely, Paul, Nathan, Kendall, Yado, and Kirk have yet to be included.
  • Yes, this is very early for this time of analysis, but I think it'll be fun to track what happens, what could have been, etc. It's sure to elicit some angst along the way.





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